{"id":16389,"date":"2024-10-05T11:42:27","date_gmt":"2024-10-05T00:12:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/?p=16389"},"modified":"2024-10-05T11:44:32","modified_gmt":"2024-10-05T00:14:32","slug":"could-rate-cuts-mean-house-prices-heat-up-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/could-rate-cuts-mean-house-prices-heat-up-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Could rate cuts mean house prices heat up again?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>September saw the nation\u2019s official cash rate kept on hold once again. But there is growing consensus that the RBA may cut the cash rate at one of its next few meetings.<\/p>\n<p>Several of the big banks, including\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westpac.com.au\/docs\/pdf\/aw\/economics-research\/WestpacWeekly.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Westpac<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nab.com.au\/business\/international-and-foreign-exchange\/financial-markets\/interest-rate-forecast\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NAB<\/a>, are expecting rate cuts in the first half of next year.<\/p>\n<p>Others, such as the Commonwealth Bank, are forecasting a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commbank.com.au\/content\/dam\/commbank-assets\/private-banking\/2024\/october-2024-market-outlook.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">rate cut in time for Christmas<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>While lower rates can\u2019t come soon enough for many struggling mortgage holders, there is one issue that has been largely overlooked, and that\u2019s how home prices might respond to a cash rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what the experts say may happen.<\/p>\n<h3>How home values could respond to rate cuts<\/h3>\n<p>First up, it\u2019s worth pointing out that higher rates have been with us since\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/statistics\/cash-rate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mid-2022<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Yet property values have climbed rather than cooled since then, with the national median value rising from\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com.au\/__data\/assets\/pdf_file\/0021\/10875\/CoreLogic-home-value-index-June-2022-FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$752,507 in June 2022<\/a>\u00a0to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com.au\/__data\/assets\/pdf_file\/0012\/24303\/CoreLogic-HVI-Oct-2024-FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$807,110 today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>With that in mind, if interest rates fall, many pundits believe home values could head even higher.<\/p>\n<p>The question is, how much higher?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.raywhite.com\/news-and-market-insights\/economic-updates\/with-a-rate-cut-imminent-what-would-be-the-impact-on-house-prices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ray White Economics<\/a>\u00a0has done the maths based on past property price movements following a long-awaited rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>According to their analysis, home prices nationally could rise by 0.6% within just one month of a rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>REA Group has teased out the numbers further, saying that based on current median values, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/how-interest-rate-cut-will-change-value-of-your-home\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">0.6% price rise could add an extra $5,000<\/a>\u00a0to the average cost of a home across Australia.<\/p>\n<p>And that\u2019s for just one rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>\u200b\u200bSQM Research director Louis Christopher says four cuts next year, while still a more remote possibility, could cause a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/four-interest-rate-cuts-on-cards-over-next-year-markets-predict\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">huge rebound<\/a>\u00a0in property markets that have recently been weaker \u2013 such as Melbourne and Sydney.<\/p>\n<h3>The impact in your state capital<\/h3>\n<p>Exactly how home prices respond to rate cuts is likely to vary between locations.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what Ray White Economics and REA Group say could happen in capital cities in the first month after one official rate cut:<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2013 Sydney:<\/strong>\u00a0values rise 1.4% adding an extra $15,300 to the median property value.<br \/>\n<strong>\u2013 Melbourne:<\/strong>\u00a0values rise 1.0%, pushing up the median price by $8,000.<br \/>\n<strong>\u2013 Brisbane:<\/strong>\u00a0values climb 0.4%, adding $3,400 to home prices.<br \/>\n<strong>\u2013 Canberra:<\/strong>\u00a0values increase 0.5%, pushing up prices by just over $4,000.<br \/>\n<strong>\u2013 Adelaide:<\/strong>\u00a0values rise 0.3%, adding $2,300 to property prices.<br \/>\n<strong>\u2013 Perth and Darwin:<\/strong>\u00a0no change to values.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s worth stressing that these numbers reflect how the market has responded to rate cuts in the past. Things could be very different in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Perth, for example, currently has one of the nation\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.proptrack.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PropTrack-Home-Price-Index-September-2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">strongest property markets<\/a>, and Ray White Economics suggests that home values there could rise further following a cut to the cash rate.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row\" data-structure=\"12\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-12 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_left bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_normal\" data-width=\"12\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row_wrapper bt_bb_row_width_boxed_1200\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row\" data-structure=\"2-4-4-2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-2 col-sm-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_left bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_normal\" data-width=\"2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"4\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_text\">\n<h6>Speak To An Expert<\/h6>\n<p>Schedule in a time to discuss your situation with a home loan specialist<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_normal bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_button bto btop bt_bb_icon_position_left bt_bb_color_scheme_14 bt_bb_style_filled bt_bb_width_inline bt_bb_shape_inherit bt_bb_size_normal bt_bb_align_inherit\" data-bt-override-class=\"{&quot;bt_bb_size_&quot;:{&quot;current_class&quot;:&quot;bt_bb_size_normal&quot;,&quot;xl&quot;:&quot;normal&quot;},&quot;bt_bb_align_&quot;:{&quot;current_class&quot;:&quot;bt_bb_align_inherit&quot;,&quot;xl&quot;:&quot;inherit&quot;}}\"><a class=\"bt_bb_link\" title=\"BOOK IN A CALL\" href=\"\/finance\/book-a-chat-with-tommy-biller\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"bt_bb_button_text\">BOOK IN A CALL<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_normal bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"4\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-2 col-sm-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<h3>Should I buy now?<\/h3>\n<p>Holding out for interest rate cuts may seem to make sense. After all, lower rates can boost your borrowing power.<\/p>\n<p>But as we have seen, it could also work against you.<\/p>\n<p>Lower rates may push up home prices, and potentially fuel increased competition among buyers.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why we believe the \u201cright\u201d time to buy is when you are ready.<\/p>\n<p>And today\u2019s spring market comes with the added advantage of more choice for buyers.<\/p>\n<p>According to CoreLogic, the flow of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com.au\/news-research\/news\/2024\/home-values-inch-higher-nationally-as-growth-loses-momentum\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">freshly-advertised housing stock<\/a>\u00a0hasn\u2019t been this high at this time of the year since 2021.<\/p>\n<p>So if you\u2019re interested in buying your first or next home (with the potential benefit of getting one or several rate cuts soon after your purchase), <a href=\"http:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/finance\/book-a-chat-with-tommy-biller\/\">book in a call<\/a> with us today.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll help you assess your borrowing power in the current market, and if you find the right house, we\u2019ll help you find the right loan for it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong>\u00a0The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>September saw the nation\u2019s official cash rate kept on hold once again. But there is growing consensus that the RBA may cut the cash rate at one of its next few meetings. Several of the big banks, including\u00a0Westpac\u00a0and\u00a0NAB, are expecting rate cuts in the first half of next year. Others, such as the Commonwealth Bank,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16392,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Could rate cuts mean house prices heat up again? - Quantiphy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/finance-matters.info\/2024\/10\/02\/could-rate-cuts-mean-house-prices-heat-up-again\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Could rate cuts mean house prices heat up again? - Quantiphy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"September saw the nation\u2019s official cash rate kept on hold once again. 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But there is growing consensus that the RBA may cut the cash rate at one of its next few meetings. Several of the big banks, including\u00a0Westpac\u00a0and\u00a0NAB, are expecting rate cuts in the first half of next year. 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