{"id":16662,"date":"2025-05-02T13:52:47","date_gmt":"2025-05-02T02:22:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/?p=16662"},"modified":"2025-05-02T14:01:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-02T02:31:00","slug":"could-us-tariffs-be-good-news-for-aussie-home-owners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/could-us-tariffs-be-good-news-for-aussie-home-owners\/","title":{"rendered":"Could US tariffs be good news for Aussie home owners?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tariff-triggered cuts to interest rates could be just around the corner, with Australian borrowers the likely winners if they come to fruition.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>US trade policies have hit media headlines this month following Donald Trump\u2019s controversial tariff announcements on 2 April.<\/p>\n<p>The flow of tariff announcements coming out of the US has rattled share markets globally, driven by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commbank.com.au\/content\/dam\/commbank-assets\/private-banking\/2025-04\/april-2025-market-outlook.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">uncertainty plus fears of an economic slowdown in the US<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>However, there may be a silver lining to the tariff cloud for Australian home owners.<\/p>\n<p>All four of Australia\u2019s major banks are predicting solid cuts to interest rates \u2013 and they could come sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what the big banks are saying could happen.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row\" data-structure=\"12\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-12 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_left bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_normal\" data-width=\"12\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row_wrapper bt_bb_row_width_boxed_1200\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_row\" data-structure=\"2-4-4-2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-2 col-sm-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_left bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_normal\" data-width=\"2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"4\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_text\">\n<h6>Speak To An Expert<\/h6>\n<p>Schedule in a time to discuss your situation with a home loan specialist<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_normal bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_button bto btop bt_bb_icon_position_left bt_bb_color_scheme_14 bt_bb_style_filled bt_bb_width_inline bt_bb_shape_inherit bt_bb_size_normal bt_bb_align_inherit\" data-bt-override-class=\"{&quot;bt_bb_size_&quot;:{&quot;current_class&quot;:&quot;bt_bb_size_normal&quot;,&quot;xl&quot;:&quot;normal&quot;},&quot;bt_bb_align_&quot;:{&quot;current_class&quot;:&quot;bt_bb_align_inherit&quot;,&quot;xl&quot;:&quot;inherit&quot;}}\"><a class=\"bt_bb_link\" title=\"BOOK IN A CALL\" href=\"\/finance\/book-a-chat-with-tommy-biller\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"bt_bb_button_text\">BOOK IN A CALL<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_normal bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"4\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column col-md-2 col-sm-4 col-ms-12 bt_bb_align_center bt_bb_vertical_align_top bt_bb_padding_double bt_bb_highlight\" data-width=\"2\">\n<div class=\"bt_bb_column_content\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bt_bb_separator bt_bb_bottom_spacing_small bt_bb_border_style_none\"><\/div>\n<h3>The cash rate could fall to 3.35%<\/h3>\n<p>NAB believes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to act quickly,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/business.nab.com.au\/nab-monetary-policy-update-10-april-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">with a 0.5% rate cut in May<\/a>, followed by 0.25% cuts in July, August, November and even February 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Over at ANZ, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.anz.com\/institutional\/insights\/articles\/2025-04\/rba-expected-to-cut-three-times\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">forecast is for the RBA to cut the cash rate by 0.25% in May<\/a>, followed by 0.25% cuts at its July and August meetings.<\/p>\n<p>That could see the cash rate drop to 3.35% by August, down from 4.1% at present.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the experts at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/library.westpaciq.com.au\/content\/dam\/public\/westpaciq\/secure\/economics\/documents\/aus\/2025\/04\/WestpacMarketOutlookApril2025.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Westpac expect three more 0.25% rate cuts<\/a>\u00a0this year.<\/p>\n<p>And the CommBank view is that the RBA will likely\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commbank.com.au\/content\/dam\/commbank-assets\/private-banking\/2025-04\/april-2025-market-outlook.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">cut rates by 0.75% in total<\/a>\u00a0by year\u2019s end, adding that \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commbankresearch.com.au\/apex\/researcharticleviewv2?id=a0NDo000000wKkg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a rate cut in May is a done deal<\/a>\u201d depending on inflation figures.<\/p>\n<h3>No guarantees<\/h3>\n<p>Given the fast-moving tariff situation, it\u2019s no surprise all four big banks have highlighted that their rate forecasts are not set in stone.<\/p>\n<p>And of course, it\u2019s the RBA that calls the shots on the cash rate.<\/p>\n<p>On that front, the RBA isn\u2019t giving much away.<\/p>\n<p>In its latest (April 15) Board meeting, the RBA kept rates on hold, saying it wanted to wait and see how US trade policies could impact the Aussie economy, job market and its arch-enemy \u2013 inflation.<\/p>\n<p>We won\u2019t know how inflation is tracking until 30 April when the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/statistics\/economy\/price-indexes-and-inflation\/consumer-price-index-australia\/dec-quarter-2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">latest figures come out<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 about a fortnight before the RBA meets again on 19-20 May.<\/p>\n<p>Long story short, it\u2019s a case of \u2018watch this space\u2019 \u2013 for a few weeks at least.<\/p>\n<h3>Building costs could rise<\/h3>\n<p>A downside of US tariffs is a possible impact on new home building costs.<\/p>\n<p>If Australia ends up facing higher prices for materials used in construction, we could see\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/tug-of-war-how-the-trump-tariffs-could-sting-aussie-housing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">price increases for new home builds and renovations<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>So it\u2019s worth speaking to us about your borrowing power if you\u2019re planning a big construction project in the near future.<\/p>\n<h3>Could you make a rate cut of your own?<\/h3>\n<p>If the major banks are right, we could see rates start to fall as soon as next month.<\/p>\n<p>But home owners may be able to enjoy a rate cut of their own even earlier.<\/p>\n<p>Plenty of lenders are\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.mozo.com.au\/roundup\/mozo-banking-roundup-202503-ab6ft7e.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">offering home loan rates that start with a 5<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That provides lots of potential for you to save by switching to a new loan. It could also be an opportunity to enjoy improved loan features.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/finance\/book-a-chat-with-tommy-biller\/\">Book in a call<\/a> today to see how your home loan shapes up.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong>\u00a0The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tariff-triggered cuts to interest rates could be just around the corner, with Australian borrowers the likely winners if they come to fruition. &nbsp; US trade policies have hit media headlines this month following Donald Trump\u2019s controversial tariff announcements on 2 April. The flow of tariff announcements coming out of the US has rattled share markets&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16663,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Could US tariffs be good news for Aussie home owners? - Quantiphy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/quantiphy.com.au\/oldbackup\/could-us-tariffs-be-good-news-for-aussie-home-owners\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Could US tariffs be good news for Aussie home owners? - Quantiphy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Tariff-triggered cuts to interest rates could be just around the corner, with Australian borrowers the likely winners if they come to fruition. &nbsp; US trade policies have hit media headlines this month following Donald Trump\u2019s controversial tariff announcements on 2 April. 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